Hurricane Ian forms in Caribbean Sea

Five oclock on eating, just you’re walking, getting ready to walk out the door today, we’re not going to have any impacts from this storm. We’re going to have a day like yesterday. We were starting off mainly in the to 90 with a couple of showers around today. The impact some in will begin very late tomorrow but mainly Wednesday and Thursday. At that. So again, here’s your hurricane. It was just upgraded at five a.m. this morning to a minimal hurricane with 75 mile per hour winds. I want to show you something here in the past, maybe

two or three hours with this satellite picture. Jumps out at you, doesn’t it? You see this purple ? This is just a massive explosion of higher cloud tops. Big thunderstorms wrapping around the center of where Ian is again. This has been anticipated. It is moving into an area that is very favorable. Four strengthening and for rapid intensification at the hurricane center, saying that there’s a 60% chance. These winds which you see now at 75 MPH. Go that’s really the definition of rapid intensification. So very good likelihood. This becomes a major hurricane. Maybe not today is

it rapidly intensifying this Um, this is like rocket fuel to tropical systems. It’s the deepest, warmest water of the Atlantic Basin. And typically, when storms move through this, they get a big boost

in their intensity. Also fueling this intensification is light wind shear. You hear us talking about when she year all the time. This is higher wind shear over, say, the Dominican Republic and Haiti and parts of the Gulf as well which, eventually this will run into. But right now it’s in a corridor with very low wind shear. Very low wind shear 85 86 degree

water temperatures. Perfect conditions for a storm to strengthen and you can see there’s those that big flare up. That we had just in the past few hours and you’re going to see more of that. And I would anticipate by later today, you’re probably going to see an eye come out into this storm. Here’s your five AM advisory. It’s moving northwest of 14 in the general track. His not changed and I know I would listen to me. I got the text. I got the social media. You want me to just push it away? It doesn’t work

that way. I can’t do that, in fact going right through Tuesday afternoon, coming off the coast of Cuba, potentially strengthening into a Category four hurricane. Look how small the cone is. It’s more than likely not going outside this cone folks. Okay? And that’s the problem because even if it hits the western side of the cone, We still get impacts closer to the Eastern side. It’s a direct hit, so either way, we’re going to have significant impacts in the Tampa Bay area. It takes more of that Western path. It’s going to be storm surge and some

rain the eastern path then you’re going to throw some wind in on top of that, as well. But the one thing that does concern me about any whether it takes the western side of the cone or the Eastern is how slow it’s moving. You know, we’ve had some storms in the past come racing across the state. Right with Jean Um, with Francis. Wilma Yes. You know, Wilma, we had Charlie and they were just kind of moving along pretty quickly. In fact, this one doesn’t want to do that. And that means that tropical storm force winds

and storm surge will be repeated over and over for a couple of days until we can get it out. Here’s Wednesday morning at two A.m. Thursday morning at two a.m. It’s still just off our coast. And then going into Friday morning at two a.m. It’s just barely made its landfall. So you see how long we have We’re going to have to deal with it. So here are the new watches that have come out from Pinellas and Hillsboro southward under a hurricane watch. And you’re saying Pasco Hernado Citrus? Why am I not in this watch? Here’s

the reason it’s done with timing when you’re within 48 hours of the event, the watch has to go out for planning purposes so I would expect Pasco, Hernado and citrusy you’ll be under a watch. Later today, Okay, so moving from south to North Storm surge watch, potentially at this point Based on the track, you’re looking at 5 to 8 Ft of storm surge into Tampa Bay. Now the thing about that is remember. It’s also going to be raining at the same time. Okay And with all that heavy rain, What does it want to do? It

wants to drain into the bay. It’s not gonna be able to do that. That’s going to cause the flooding, so high winds flooding heavy rain. Those are the dominant issues. That’s what we’re going to be dealing with, and it will be primarily Wednesday and Thursday, okay? So right now, today is going to be fine. Rapid Something’s up at your house. Everything’s going to be fine. Things will start to go downhill late tomorrow than Wednesday and Thursday. So hot with some showers. Today we’re gonna rain chance of about 50% The rain chances dramatically increase of course

late Tuesday and the Wednesday fine tuning that track every minute as we move forward and again, it’s all

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